Forecasting scores

Forecasting accuracy: Not yet available this year

All history: Not yet available

2026 · 0 scored predictions this year · 0 all history

Each prediction counts once. Accuracy = right ÷ (right + wrong). This year is based on assessment date in the site timezone. Unscored statuses do not enter the denominator.

Right and wrong

OutcomeClassesThis yearAll history
RightA, B, D00
WrongF, G, H00

All statuses

StatusThis yearAll history
Open00
Waiting for evidence00
Awaiting review00
A: Bullseye00
B: Correct00
C: Still unresolved00
D: Right by accident00
E: Disrupted by events00
F: Wrong00
G: Dead wrong00
H: What was I thinking?00
X: Beyond assessment00
Withdrawn00

In the status table, this year uses assessment year for assessed predictions and recorded year for unassessed predictions. All figures reflect current public records and current classes. No scored predictions means accuracy is not yet available.

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Personal hobby blog. No professional advice. About Forecasting